News Archive 2009-2018

Pundits Lost the Election to Poll Quants (The Chronicle of Higher Education) Archives

The number-crunchers cleanly triumphed over the pundits this election. Election forecasters Nate Silver, Sam Wang, Simon Jackman, Drew Linzer – they all successfully used statistical models to predict a win for President Obama. Meanwhile, pundits like George Will and Dick Morris seemed old-fashioned in their predictions for a Romney victory, based largely on hunches, according to The Chronicle of Higher Education. These days the more dependable oracle appears to be “examining the data in a systematic, rigorous fashion” rather than relying on “gut feeling and political convictions,” the Chronicle observes.